Global stock markets are in a multi-year bull-market and nominal prices are likely to appreciate for several more months. In our view, we are currently amidst a normal multi-week consolidation phase and most stock markets are likely to stage a sharp year-end advance.
Look. We know that the developed economies are in trouble and they are unlikely to improve anytime soon. For instance, unemployment remains stubbornly high, deficits are spiraling out of control and debt levels are unprecedented. At first glance, things do look dire but we still believe that nominal stock prices will continue to rise.
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Band-Aid Solutions
Let’s face it, governments always try to ‘kick the can down the road'. Rather than deal with economic issues in the here and now, they prefer to postpone the pain. Unfortunately, in their attempt to avoid painful economic recessions, the policymakers sacrifice the purchasing power of their currencies and they end up creating even bigger troubles for the future.
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