The precious metals sector is at an important juncture. Let's take a look at the potential upside targets. First lets start with Gold. Gold has formed a bullish cup and handle pattern, which is more bullish than usual due to the handle being formed at a higher level than usual. The pattern projects to $1450. Initial support is $1235-$1240 followed by $1225. [Read more...]

The various large-cap gold stock indices are readying for a major breakout. As we've noted, this isn't just a breakout through 2008 highs but a breakout through highs dating back to 1980. Yes, there are some gold stock indices like the Barron's Gold Mining Index and others, which show a 30-year base dating back to 1980. This will be a historic breakout for the gold stocks. [Read more...]

Months ago we wrote about the true causes of hyperinflation. We proceed to expand upon our views as we disagree with the views put forth by John Mauldin, Mike Shedlock and now Jim Rickards who all focus on velocity and/or bank lending as important causes of hyperinflation. [Read more...]

I maintain two indices for premium subscribers so that we can better track the junior precious metals sector. These four charts should give you a better idea of the current state of the sector. The first chart shows our junior gold index over the last year. The junior gold index consists of 25 companies, most of which are in the neighborhood of $100-$600 million in market cap. How a billion dollar company is a junior, is beyond me. [Read more...]

Once again we see another bearish piece on Gold in the WSJ. Rather than attack the author personally, we want to illustrate how the article is another example of the lack of any quality gold commentary both in general and in mainstream publications. First, its important to note why you won't see much quality gold-related commentary (or any positive commentary) in publications such as the WSJ and the Economist. It's because these publications can't make any money (yet) selling gold-related advertisements. [Read more...]

Tell this to a baby boomer or a middle aged person and they would be quite skeptical. Their neighborhood financial advisor or planner doesn't advocate Gold. It is too dangerous. It could drop to $500. Gold stocks? Hell no! After failing to get you out of stocks not once but twice in the last ten years, your advisor tells you its time to play it safe. You need to save more. [Read more...]

It is not exactly groundbreaking analysis to say that whats good for Gold is generally good for Silver. As observers of the precious metals know, Silver tends to lag Gold but eventually catch up quickly. In the long-term sense, Silver is still a year or two behind Gold as Gold has broken above all resistance levels. Technically speaking, we do favor Gold over the next few months, but ultimately, Silver is poised to catch up with vengeance. [Read more...]

In short all three commodities look ready to move lower as the short term underlying technical's are bearish. I would like to note that gold generally is a leading indicator for other commodities which you can see going back to the 1970's. And with any luck we will see rising price across the board in the next few months. [Read more...]