When a Great Correction Doesn’t Stick to the Script

Darkness without a dawn…

The Dow down 167 yesterday. Gold down $48. Nothing to get excited about.

The excitement is still ahead. When the Dow cuts through the 10,000 mark and heads to 6,000. Stay tuned…

In the meantime, yesterday’s Financial Times told us that the industrialized nations will borrow $10 trillion this year. Next year, the figure should be higher.

[Read more...]

Governments are the Primary Creators of Systemic Risk

The greatest lesson of the still young 21st century is proving to be that governments are the primary source of systemic risk to the economy, our standard of living, and our liberty.

The latest case in point is the European government debt crisis, with Greece once again running out of money and threatening to trigger yet another financial crisis. The government’s debt now totals more than 150% of its GDP, and continues to grow. Last year’s bailout by other European governments was supposed to give it the time needed to reduce its budget deficits so that next year Greece could roll over its maturing debts, as well as finance additional deficits at interest rates under 6%. However, the government’s austerity plan of tax increases and budget cuts has not reduced current or projected government deficits because the economy in 2010 contracted by 4.5% and the unemployment rate jumped to 15%.

[Read more...]

US Manufacturing is Stronger?

As I turn on the currency screens this morning, I see that the euro (EUR) is higher than it was yesterday morning, but lower than it was mid-day yesterday, as the single unit rallied to 1.2850 yesterday, only to see that figure slip slidin' away, and then watch it rise again…

[Read more...]

The Central Bank Gold Shell Game Continues

We recently reported the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has been accepting gold like a “pawn shop” for central banks, but the BIS has since changed its tune. It emailed The Wall Street Journal to say the 346 tonnes of gold it has added to its vaults belong to commercial banks and not to central banks. Sure, anything’s possible… yet this version of events seems unlikely, and we'll explain why below.

[Read more...]

Global “Pawn Shop� Loans Central Banks Cash for Gold at Record Rate

The gold price level has pulled back of late and there's a new reason to explain the move. Commodity Online suggests the price of gold could be taking a hit from the record rate at which the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has been growing its holdings of central bank gold. The BIS has the ability to serve as a sort of global “pawn shopâ€? for central bank gold and could be in the process of executing “the biggest gold swap in history.”

[Read more...]