Yen Repatriation is Over

Good day. A tricky but successful first day on our brand-spanking-new computer system was had yesterday. Still some things to work out, but as our first IT guy used to say, “It’s not a bug, it’s a feature.” It still rings true! So onto day two, and let’s see what’s in store for us today!

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Gold Demand Drops as Indian Jewelers Close in Protest

The currency markets were fairly calm yesterday, with the dollar pretty much unchanged from the levels I reported in yesterday’s Pfennig. There really wasn’t much new information to push the dollar one way or the other, and the news scrolling on the currency trading screens mainly rehashed concerns over China’s slowdown.

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Dollar Declines, Then Reverses Course This Morning

Good day. It was a warm walk across the bridge this morning, hard to believe we have temperatures in the mid-80s so early in the year. We usually get some odd days during March, which bring the temperatures up, but this summerlike weather has stayed for most of the month. It has certainly faked the plants out, as they are leafing out well ahead of schedule. Today, we will start to see if the nice weather we have had across the country has helped the housing industry. At least one Fed head is saying the warm weather is partially responsible for some of the recent gains we have seen in the economic data.

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US Dollar Settles Into a Trading Range

The currency markets rode out the rough waters of Wednesday and made it to a bit calmer seas yesterday. The dollar traded in a fairly tight range as reports released in the morning showed initial jobless claims remained just over 350,000, and continuing claims also remained steady. Both of these numbers were slightly better than estimates, but neither moved the markets.

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Bernanke Shakes up the Markets

Stock and currency investors are probably happy Feb. 29 comes around only once every four years, as the markets were incredibly volatile. Chairman Ben Bernanke addressed Congress yesterday, and sent the stock market into a tailspin by suggesting he has no plans to institute another round of stimulus. Bernanke’s speech sent the dollar higher and gold down almost 5%, a wild leap day for sure!

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Eurozone Economic Confidence Rises

I told you yesterday that the Australian dollar (AUD) was weaker because of the uncertainty of the leadership vote that Prime Minister Gillard won over the weekend, but that it would bounce back quickly, and that’s exactly what it did. I had just hit send, and I noticed the A$ ticking higher, and by midmorning, the A$ was back to $1.0750, where it seems to have stalled out, but remains a buy for those investors around the world looking for yield, and don’t want to go out on the limb with Brazil.

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The Greek Parliament Bails Out the Markets

The Greek Parliament approved the austerity measures yesterday, giving traders the confidence to head back into the markets. We will have a fairly big week of economic data releases here in the U.S., which should help keep things interesting. Lots to cover, so I better get going if I am going to get this delivered on time!

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Ireland Says It Won’t Need Additional Bailouts

The currency markets were pretty exciting yesterday with the dollar losing steam early on but slowly building some momentum on the upside throughout the day. This morning, the dollar has spiked higher as investors start to seek out the “haven” of U.S. Treasuries.

The currency markets continue to be held hostage by the Greeks. As I mentioned in the closing lines of yesterday’s Pfennig, the leaders of Greece’s coalition government reached an agreement on implementing the austerity measures demanded by the EU and the IMF in order to secure a second round of much-needed financing. As predicted, this news caused a rally in the euro (EUR), which reached a high of 1.3320. But eurozone finance ministers said they want to see the measures approved by the full Greek parliament, which is set to vote Sunday. While Greek leaders certainly feel the measures will be passed by the parliament, workers staged a strike in Athens today in order to protest these measures. The EU leaders gave the Greek leaders 15 days to institute the new austerity measures, so they could possibly delay the vote further if they see it has a risk of not passing. But I’m sure they would much rather get this over and done.

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Greece Disappoints Again!

Here we are… The last couple of days of January… So the first month of 2012 is just about over, and already, we’ve heard the Fed push their rate forecast for near zero rates out further, and the Fed laying the groundwork for another round of QE… But… When we began the month/year, everyone was pounding their chests, and talking about what a great year 2012 would be (economic-wise)… Talk about deflating the balloon in the first month of the year!

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