Roubini: 2nd Half Looking Worse, Double Dip Over 40% Likely

Nouriel Roubini, or “Dr. Doom” as he’s also known, is a New York University professor and co-founder of Roubini Global Economics. As his nickname implies, his opinions tend to be on the gloomy side, and in this recent interview he describes “monetary policy as impotent” and estimates a GDP growth rate in this year’s second half of, well, just about zero percent.

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Big Jumps in the Chinese Auto Market

China as the biggest exporter in the world? Aw c’mon…that’s, like, so yesterday’s news. Today’s buzz is that the Middle Kingdom has convincingly usurped the US as the world’s largest auto market; something that would surely have ol’ Henry Ford turning in his grave.

Vehicle sales in China jumped 46% for 2009, compared to a 21% slump in the American market. Sales of passenger cars, buses and trucks rose to a whopping 13.6 million. The US managed to move only 10.1 million vehicles during that same time. Figures in the now-number-two market haven’t been that lean in almost three decades. And, thanks to C.E.Obama’s “Cash for Clunkers” meddling, the US has already spent a good portion of tomorrow’s demand, too. Our own Reckoner-in-Chief, Bill Bonner, explained as much in yesterday’s issue, The Little Clunker That Couldn’t.

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Economic Releases Drive Currency Markets

The currency markets were a bit more volatile yesterday, as we got some surprising data releases here in the US… But after the dust settled, the dollar closed out the day pretty much right where it had started versus most of the major currencies. Gold and silver continued to slide, but the price of oil moved up a bit. Today we will get another big round of economic data, which could cause some more volatility in the markets.

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