It May Take a Dragon to Breathe Fire Into Markets

At the Cambridge House’s Vancouver Resource Investment Conference this week, I am part of a special debate on whether China will boom or bust with bestselling author Gordon G. Chang. The title of Chang’s book, The Coming Collapse of China, states his position quite clearly and I look forward to the intellectual challenge of convincing him otherwise.

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2011 Halftime Report: The Cues for Copper

Copper slightly disappointed investors, ending the first half of the year with a decline of 3.50 percent. Worries about global inflation and, more specifically, the potential slowing of China’s economy weighed on copper’s price. The red metal rose 5 percent quickly in the new year, but similar to zinc, lead, palladium and platinum prices, declined sharply at the beginning of May.

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Commodities 2011 Halftime Report

Commodities don’t all perform in the same way. In any given year, a particular commodity will go gangbusters and outperform the group. However, that commodity will typically come back to Earth and underperform the following year or the year after that. This is why active management is important when investing in commodities. Active managers can benefit from rotating from winners to laggards or by investing in the companies which produce, farm or mine commodities most effectively.

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Don’t Turn Out the Lights on Commodities Just Yet

The prices for many commodities suffered the worst week in recent memory last week. Oil prices dipped below $100 per barrel, gold fell below $1,500 an ounce and silver gave back much of the past month’s gains by falling to the $35 an ounce level. The prices for other commodities such as sugar, tin, nickel, aluminum, lead and copper also pulled back.

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What’s Driving Russia’s Outperformance?

The Russian MICEX Index, which increased 22.5 percent in 2010, has jumped 15 percent so far in 2011, significantly outperforming many other markets.

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The BRIC Self Sufficiency Index

Demand for natural resources in the emerging world is increasing, but how much of this increased demand is met by the country’s own production?

This interesting chart from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch shows the supply/demand fundamentals of several key industrial metals and basic materials.

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The Case for Commodities in 2010

The biggest emerging economies have ambitious plans that require a greater share of the world’s limited commodities. This trend is spurring profound and permanent disruptions in how these resources are allocated now and in the future. For investors, these disruptions present opportunities.

Simply put, an investment in natural resources is a vote of confidence in global economic growth.

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A Decade of Hot Commodities

We’ve updated our popular Periodic Table of Commodity Returns, and the headline news should come as no surprise – 2009 was a complete turnaround from the sector’s 2008 performance.

Commodities (as measured by the Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index) rose 24 percent in 2009, the largest single-year increase since the early 1970s.

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Pan American Silver

Reports record net income, record silver and gold production RENO, NV - Pan American Silver Tuesday reported a 172% increase in net income for the third quarter, along with record silver and gold production. CEO Geoff Burns said, "The main drivers of our third quarter performance were a well executed startup of the San Vicente mine expansion, which has been producing silver beyond our expectations, and a solid quarter at Manantial Espejo. " [Read more...]