It May Take a Dragon to Breathe Fire Into Markets

At the Cambridge House’s Vancouver Resource Investment Conference this week, I am part of a special debate on whether China will boom or bust with bestselling author Gordon G. Chang. The title of Chang’s book, The Coming Collapse of China, states his position quite clearly and I look forward to the intellectual challenge of convincing him otherwise.

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2011 Halftime Report: The Cues for Copper

Copper slightly disappointed investors, ending the first half of the year with a decline of 3.50 percent. Worries about global inflation and, more specifically, the potential slowing of China’s economy weighed on copper’s price. The red metal rose 5 percent quickly in the new year, but similar to zinc, lead, palladium and platinum prices, declined sharply at the beginning of May.

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Don’t Turn Out the Lights on Commodities Just Yet

The prices for many commodities suffered the worst week in recent memory last week. Oil prices dipped below $100 per barrel, gold fell below $1,500 an ounce and silver gave back much of the past month’s gains by falling to the $35 an ounce level. The prices for other commodities such as sugar, tin, nickel, aluminum, lead and copper also pulled back.

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What’s Driving Russia’s Outperformance?

The Russian MICEX Index, which increased 22.5 percent in 2010, has jumped 15 percent so far in 2011, significantly outperforming many other markets.

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The BRIC Self Sufficiency Index

Demand for natural resources in the emerging world is increasing, but how much of this increased demand is met by the country’s own production?

This interesting chart from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch shows the supply/demand fundamentals of several key industrial metals and basic materials.

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The Case for Commodities in 2010

The biggest emerging economies have ambitious plans that require a greater share of the world’s limited commodities. This trend is spurring profound and permanent disruptions in how these resources are allocated now and in the future. For investors, these disruptions present opportunities.

Simply put, an investment in natural resources is a vote of confidence in global economic growth.

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Pan American Silver

Reports record net income, record silver and gold production RENO, NV - Pan American Silver Tuesday reported a 172% increase in net income for the third quarter, along with record silver and gold production. CEO Geoff Burns said, "The main drivers of our third quarter performance were a well executed startup of the San Vicente mine expansion, which has been producing silver beyond our expectations, and a solid quarter at Manantial Espejo. " [Read more...]

Chile Gold Production Increase

Chile to triple gold production by 2015 SANTIAGO - According to research undertaken by the state organisation, the Chilean Copper Commission (Cochilco), the country's gold production could triple by 2015, putting the South American nation possibly into the world's top seven global producers. Chile's current gold production is put at 39.2 tonnes, but new developments and expansions - most notably Barrick's Pascua Lama project - could bring output to 103 tonnes by 2015.  Indeed this could even be an underestimation with a number of other potential projects waiting in the wings. Much of Chile's current production is byproduct output from the country's huge copper mining industry, the world's largest, but more recent discoveries of potential gold/copper orebodies high in the Andes, which have been made viable by the big recent increase in the gold price, could mean that the country's output increases substantially in the years ahead.  However the big problem at the moment is the shortage of capital for major gold developments of this type which require billions of dollars to get them on stream. [Read more...]

Copper Prices Rally

Copper prices rally on brighter demand prospects LONDON (Reuters) - Copper rallied on Monday as demand prospects brightened after Codelco, the world's top copper miner, raised premium charges for Asian customers in 2010, while a weaker dollar also helped boost industrial metals. Three-month copper futures on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 traded at $6,572 a tonne at 1537 GMT from $6,490 on Friday, when a weaker than expected monthly jobs report from the United States hit the dollar and sentiment. Chile's Codelco raised its term premium for copper to the Japanese port of Yokohama to $75 a tonne in 2010, and to $74 for South Korean buyers, in anticipation of rising demand in parts of Asia, industry sources said on Monday. [Read more...]