The True US Unemployment Picture

Well… We’re not seeing a change in the dollar/euro pair this morning, as the dollar beats on the euro (EUR) for having countries like: Greece, Italy, Ireland, & Portugal as a part of their mix… Of course, as I’ve pointed out many times in the past, the US has states like: California (the 8th largest GDP in the WORLD!), Illinois, Michigan, New York, and now add Minnesota.. The story I saw said the euro was losing ground to the dollar because the debt crisis is entering an “acute phase”… Whatever the heck that is!

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Moody’s Rates Portugal’s Bonds As Junk!

What a difference a day makes… Only 24 hours… HA! Sad thing is that it wasn’t 24 hours; it was the span of about 5 hours that took risk out of the markets, brought back risk aversion, and at the end of the day, the dollar was mighty against the currencies, but not gold and silver…

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Risk Returns, Dollar Buying Ends

Well, the “is this Greece’s Lehman Brothers moment” talk has subsided, this morning, as today Greece votes on the austerity measures in the budget… As I’ve said now for the third day in a row, the real stickiness comes tomorrow, when they vote to “implement” the measures…

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Trichet Deep-Sixes Euro Rally

Well… As you began to read today’s letter, you noticed the title, so there’s no reason to beat around the bush… Let’s just see what European Central Bank (ECB) President, Trichet, had to say that would deep-six the euro’s two-day rally… Come on, it won’t bite…

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Greece Heads Toward Austerity?

It’s a semi-Risk Off Day today, so far that is… The Greek Confidence Vote went as thought… The budget that included austerity measures was passed, and also as expected, the Greek people protested… Just another day in the Eurozone “South”… One would think that this would be a cause to rally for the euro, being a “relief” and all… But I think that rally was already priced in yesterday, when the single unit rose to 1.44, then fell to 1.4346, and then back to 1.44, and now 1.4375…

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DXY Shows the US Dollar Was Best Performer in May

I want to start off this morning by wishing Chuck good luck with the ‘procedure’ he will be going through today. Chuck is constantly having to go in to get poked and prodded by his doctors and I am impressed at how positive he remains through all of these doctor’s visits. He told me this wasn’t a ‘big’ deal and everything should be fine, but after the past few years I think Chuck has a slightly different view than the rest of us on what a ‘big’ deal is. So we should all say a quick prayer for Chuck and his doctors.

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Austerity Plans Meet Voters In Spain

Things were not so spring-like for the euro (EUR), which has drug down all the other currencies, and for once, even the Chinese renminbi (CNY) is weaker this morning! Gold and silver, after spending the day on Friday in complete “rally mode” are weaker this morning, too… So, it’s a dollar rally, and it’s all because of the problems in the Eurozone… Let’s go to the tape!

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Worried Investors Rush Back Into the US Dollar

We saw the return of some pretty good volatility in the currency and metals markets yesterday with the dollar rising sharply and commodities dropping. It was definitely a ‘risk off’ kind of day with almost every currency down versus the US dollar as investors, scared by the ongoing European sovereign debt problems and a slowdown in the Chinese economy, rushed into the US dollar which is still seen as a ‘safe haven’. Yes, in spite of all of the debt and deficit problems here in the US, the US Treasury market is still seen as a risk free environment and it is where large investors hide during uncertain times. The 10-year bond, which we track in the currency roundup below, was up over 60 basis points dropping the yield back down below 3.2%.

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The Dollar’s Surprising Reaction to a Negative US Debt Outlook

Sniffing the obvious, Standard & Poor’s cut its outlook for US sovereign debt from stable to negative this morning.

“We believe,” reads a statement released with the announcement, “there is at least a one-in-three likelihood that we could lower our long-term rating on the US within two years.”

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