Well… I have some thoughts on the price action yesterday, and then there’s news from China with their latest economic data, which should explain a lot of why the currencies have rallied back versus the dollar, and gold heads for its all-time record high… So, let’s get this letter out of the starters blocks!
[Read more...]How to Stimuluate Inflation and a Weak Dollar
The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped another 61 points yesterday, giving the US stock market a jumpstart on a sixth consecutive losing week. Bad economic news is, apparently, bad news after all.
“US equities halted their longest streak of gains in a month,” Bloomberg News reported last Wednesday, “after companies added 38,000 workers to payrolls in May, according to figures from ADP Employer Services, less than one quarter of the median growth forecast by economists.”
[Read more...]US Jobs Report: More than Just a “Bump in the Road”
Last week I was talking about how the euro (EUR) would move past 1.45 if the Jobs Jamboree was disappointing… I guess it was disappointing, because the euro is well into the 1.46 handle this morning! So… For more on the Jobs data from last Friday, here are some thoughts I had right after the number was announced…
[Read more...]Why the Feds are Powerless Against an Economic Downturn
Okay, President Obama is a real, native-born citizen.
Whew! That’s cleared up.
But we never could figure out what the fuss was about. It didn’t make any difference to us where he was born. After all, you don’t have to be born in the USA to mess up an economy. Plenty of foreigners have done it. Plenty of Americans too.
[Read more...]More Stimulus for the Debt Junkies
And the latest installment…
The Dow dropped 228 points yesterday. Everybody blamed a different part of the world. Some blamed a developing civil war in Libya. Some blamed China’s big trade deficit (China imports beaucoup energy and raw materials). And some blamed rising interest rates in Europe.
[Read more...]You say Obama; I say Ozawa! You say boom; I say ka-boom!
The Nobel Prize committee has never withdrawn a prize. It might want to consider it. In Tuesday's New York Times, prizewinner in economics, Paul Krugman reveals either that he knows nothing about economics…or that there is nothing worth knowing in it. We're beginning to think it's the latter.
[Read more...]Print Money and Be Damned!
Japan was the world's most admired economy in the '80s. Then it was the world's most despised economy in the '90s. By 1995, economists pointed their fingers and laughed – the world's most admired businessman had lost his left shoe.
But now, much of the world is barefoot. The US inflation rate has been going down since the early '80s and was cut in half since last year. It now hovers barely above zero. Surely Japan – where prices have been falling for two decades – has something to tell us. As we pointed out last week, the Nipponese have been in decline for the last 20 years – with lower stock prices, falling real estate prices, and a falling GDP. Even the population has been sliding for the last five years
[Read more...]What to Expect from Second Quarter GDP
The currencies are trading in the same clothes as yesterday. It's almost like the movie Groundhog Day, for the euro (EUR) has performed the say way as the previous sessions… For instance, the euro rose up to 1.2765 yesterday, only to fall back to just above 1.27, and then overnight, like the previous night, the euro rose to 1.2740, only to see it fall back again.
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Bernanke Backtracks Stimulus Talk
The dollar fights back… Yes… Back and forth from a “buy dollars” bias to a “sell dollars: bias. Billy Preston (the 5th Beatle) sang about this… Will it go round in circles… Will it fly high like a bird up in the sky… But, hey! That’s OK, because what this kind of trading does, is keep campers on both sides of the river…and that’s what makes a good liquid market, for when all the campers decide to get on one side of the river, it gets too darn crowded! And the campgrounds get overused, and run down…
[Read more...]