The Return of Cheap Oil?

Will new energy discoveries and new technology sink oil prices? Will lower oil prices rescue the world from the Great Correction?

Maybe, say Porter Stansberry and a good number of the analysts and experts here.

We’re attending an investment conference — for professionals only. It’s a beautiful place for one. The island is a barrier island, mostly sand…surrounded by ocean or marshland. There is a golf course…tennis courts…bocce courts… Maybe even a kangaroo court. Or an appeals court. And a royal court. Not to mention a food court.

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The Return of Cheap Oil?

Will new energy discoveries and new technology sink oil prices? Will lower oil prices rescue the world from the Great Correction?

Maybe, say Porter Stansberry and a good number of the analysts and experts here.

We’re attending an investment conference — for professionals only. It’s a beautiful place for one. The island is a barrier island, mostly sand…surrounded by ocean or marshland. There is a golf course…tennis courts…bocce courts… Maybe even a kangaroo court. Or an appeals court. And a royal court. Not to mention a food court.

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The Rising Price of a Falling Dollar

Do you know why oil and prices are moving sharply higher? Some blame the oil companies, charging they are manipulating prices. Others cite US sanctions on Iran and the threat of a military encounter that would disrupt the flow of oil from the Middle East.

Speculators, too are blamed for ostensibly bidding up the price of oil. In the political arena, President Obama is taking credit for increased domestic oil production even as his critics point out the slow pace of drilling permits issued by his Administration soon will hamper additional increases in the US oil production.

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The Genius of the Price System

The other day, a local hamburger joint was advertising a 99 cent hamburger, and I took the offer. It was great. I wondered how they can make money this way. A few days later, my head still swimming with memories of that great experience, I went back. This time, I dug in a bit deeper and upgraded the order, including fries and a drink, and this time shelling out for my passenger too. The total bill came to $16. Wow. That’s how they make money!

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The Developed World Shifts from “More” to “Better”

Have we told you where we think the US and other developed countries are headed? No?

Well, things won’t necessarily be so bad. In a few words: the lust for MORE will become a lust for BETTER.

Yes, the age of easy growth is over. You probably won’t make any money buying stocks. And your house will never return to the levels of ’05-’06. And oh yes…you may not be able to get a job.

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The Storm is Over…

Irene was not so bad. She knocked down a few trees, flooded a few basements. But, in the end, she was a good girl who left quietly when her time came.

Traders, players, speculators and mid-night ramblers drifted back into Manhattan as soon as they could clear the fallen trees. They must have felt they had been spared for some great purpose. They must have looked to the heavens as clouds parted and rays of golden sunlight struck their uplifted faced. Whatever got into them, they rushed to the stock exchange and bought US stocks! The Dow rose 254 points.

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When Gas Prices Lead to Cutbacks

Stocks fell again yesterday, down another 20 points or so. That’s six for six sessions in the red. And they’re down again, if only modestly, this morning. Gold is down too, off 8 bucks and change over the past 24 hours. But oil…oil is up big after, as one of the papers announced, “OPEC talks broke down in acrimony on Wednesday after Saudi Arabia failed to convince the cartel to lift production, sparking a rebound in global oil prices.” A “larger than forecast” drop in US inventories also helped push the price higher.

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Are Markets Selling Off in Anticipation of More QE?

We’re finally getting some action on Wall Street! The Dow has lost more than 200 points in the last two days. Gold is down more than $50. And oil closed below $100 yesterday.

Could this be the sell-off we’ve been waiting for? Maybe.

Why do we expect a sell-off? Because we’re still in a Great Correction. And in a correction, prices tend to go down. Deflation is the underlying trend…not inflation. Debt gets marked down…defaulted on…and written off.

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Consumer Price Inflation on a Diet of Gold and Wheaties

We’ve always wondered why there is so much debate about the rate of inflation. It seems like such a simple thing to track. You go in the store. You buy a box of Wheaties. You write down the price. Next month, you do the same thing. What’s so hard about that?

But what if the box is smaller next month? What if the Wheaties are twice as good? What if you can get the same enjoyment from a box of Wheatie-Puffs at half the price?

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