China: Every Boom Busts

Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, every economic boom has been followed by an economic bust. The bigger the boom, the bigger the bust. Over the past 20 years, China has experienced the greatest economic boom in history. It is only a matter of time before the great Chinese bubble pops.

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Abandoned Principles

There should be no confusion as to the origins of the global economic crisis that began in 2008. This crisis was set in motion in the 1960s, when policymakers in the United States abandoned the core principles of economic orthodoxy: balanced government budgets and sound money backed by gold.

Large budget deficits and the possibility of financing them with paper money fundamentally changed the way the economy functioned and brought about a worldwide transformation that, over time, has deindustrialized the United States and left it heavily in debt. Paper money revolutionized all economic relationships by making credit abundant instead of scarce. In a complete break with the past, the government was no longer constrained in its ability to spend, and international trade was no longer required to balance. Economists, however, remained oblivious to this corruption of capitalism, and economic theory was left entirely unrevised.

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How to Cure an Economic Depression

“As recently as two years ago, anyone predicting the current state of affairs (not only is unemployment disastrously high, but most forecasts say that it will stay very high for years) would have been dismissed as a crazy alarmist.�

That was Paul Krugman in today's newspaper. Thomas Friedman is fixing problems in the Middle East, so we'll have to make do with Krugman to entertain us on economic matters.

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Shouldn’t do it; couldn’t do it anyway

Paul Krugman, Martin Wolf and the other big spenders are remarkably resilient. And cunning. On their advice, the world's governments put up as much as 4 years' worth of the entire planet's savings to bring about a ‘recovery.' On the evidence of the last couple of weeks, it didn't work.

In the world's leading economy, 8 million jobs have been lost. The US government disappeared almost a million jobseekers from the unemployment lists in the last two months to try to make the numbers look better. Still, fewer people have jobs now than when the stimulus began. Those workers with jobs earn less than they did then. And those who lose their jobs wait longer than ever to find a new one. Housing is sinking again, too, with nearly half of all the mortgaged houses already worth less than their mortgages. Illinois has stopped paying its bills. California is laying people off wholesale.

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A Tough But Effective Way to Fix the Economic Crisis

Another day, another dismal performance on Wall Street.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average coughed up another 96 points yesterday – increasing its loss for the year's second quarter to a hefty 1,082 points. In percentage terms, the Dow fell 10.0% during the quarter that just ended, which was only slightly better than the S&P 500's 11.9% shellacking.

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Welcoming the Failure of the Economic Recovery Team

The latest from the G20 meeting in Toronto. As you recall, the meeting was billed as a showdown between the Germans and the Americans…that is, between the deficit cutters and the big spenders…

That is, between the people without a hope and the people without a clue.

TORONTO (AP) – World leaders must work together to make sure the global recovery stays on track, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Saturday.

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Combatting Debt in the Age of De-Leveraging

Gold is still getting up. Hemlines are going down. That’s all you need to know.

Gold rose toward $1,230 yesterday. Why? Reports said investors were worried about Europe.

Well…yes…Europe…and Asia…and North America…

The problem in the world economy is debt. There’s too much of it. Investors who aren’t delusional know that too much debt spells trouble. And when government adds more debt it’s not really going to make things better. It’s going to make them worse.

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The European Bailout Absurdity: Money for Nothing

The European Union came up with a trillion-dollar bailout for itself at the dawn’s early light yesterday. Initially, the bailout plan goosed the euro back above $1.30. But by day’s end, the euro’s value had gained almost no ground whatsoever. Hardly a resounding success on Day One of the campaign.

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