Precious Metal and Energy ETF Analysis

Precious Metals and Energy ETF Trading Report So far this week has been generous with our commodity ETFs moving higher, other than natural gas which is clearly in a bear market. Each of the commodity ETF trading charts below is at a different stage and it will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks. [Read more...]

Silver to Make a Big Move

Silver is About to Explode Higher Most Gold bulls are silver bulls. The 1970s is the reason why and because inflation that occurs when a secular commodity bull cycle is in effect tends to flow into both precious metals. I have been less than wildly bullish on silver lately. I own some physical silver but hold much more Gold. My concern is simple. In past deflationary cycles, Gold has done well but silver not as well. Since I favor deflation over inflation for this cycle, I heavily weighted myself towards Gold and only hold a little silver. I even made the stupid mistake of shorting silver a few months ago and had my a$$ handed to me. [Read more...]

Gold:Silver Ratio – Buy Silver!

This article suggests that silver is undervalued compared to gold by anywhere from 10% to 50% based on historical gold to silver price relationships.

With primary secular bull or bear trends easily running from 10 to 20 years of the average investor’s 40 year investing lifespan it is crucial to identify optimal accumulation points within these primary trends to avoid prolonged periods of under-performance and potentially negative returns and to avoid dramatically reducing the number of productive years in which to build one’s fortune. [Read more...]

Gold Market Fundamentals

Gold at Both Ends of the Economic K Wave Cycle Now that the 10-year cycle has peaked, fear will become the dominant emotion in the financial marketplace in the years ahead. Risk aversion is on the rise since the credit crisis and investors must look to those assets which tend to benefit from fear. Gold is of course the chief beneficiary of fear and has the added feature of being a hedge against a hyper-deflationary environment. Hyper deflation will be the order of the day in 2012-2014 when the final leg of the 60-year cycle descends. [Read more...]

Gold and Silver Market Outlook

Gold, Silver and Stocks Analysis, Forecast The S&P 500 was down over 4% for the week. This was the second week in a row that the market closed down. A short term correction is underway. It remains to be seen if the short term correction turns into a medium term move down. Up first is the daily chart of the SPX. It shows lower diagonal support broken below. If the October low marked by the blue horizontal line is broken below it would raise the possibility that an intermediate term move is unfolding. [Read more...]

Gold and Silver: Examining Risk Exposure

Gold and Silver, What is Your Exposure A well-known truism is that every investor needs to start with savings. But what if that “savings” gave the investor too much exposure to risk? What investors or people in general need in this financial environment is savings that don’t deteriorate. We are in an environment now where the idea of making money, which is kind of the preamble to being American, is going away. In other words, today’s environment is, he who loses the least, wins, and the way that you do that is to hold a currency that doesn’t devalue over time. [Read more...]