Subprime State of Mind

Memories take time. Like history. Or wine. Or cement.

At first, they are loose, fluid…and watery. Then, over time, they dry up…and develop more body…more shape…more substance.

Our recollections from our trip to Argentina are still congealing…setting up like a stone wall. We’ll show it to you in the days ahead.

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Buy a House!

A little more than a year ago, a very successful professional investor declared, “If you don’t own a home, buy one. If you own one home, buy another one, and if you own two homes, buy a third and lend your relatives the money to buy a home.”

Since that declaration, house prices have continued drifting lower in most parts of the country. The Case-Shiller index of national home prices is down about 4% year over year. Even so, we’re betting this professional investor was merely early…not wrong. US housing isn’t just cheap; it is the cheapest it has been in more than 40 years. And when one considers the possibility that inflation may rear its head soon, housing looks even cheaper still.

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Counting on Millennial Homeownership

The report that got us started on this tangent this morning: Home prices in 20 U.S. metro areas are now as low as they were nine years ago, according to the just released Case-Shiller Home Price Index.

S&P/Case Shiller Home Price Indices

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There’s a Beach for Everyone in Brazil

Brazilian Beach Near Joao Pessoa

The Beach is almost a religion in Brazil. It’s where you spend your free time, your weekends, and your vacations. It’s where you meet up with friends, hang out with your family, and play with your kids. It’s where you picnic, savor a chilled beer, or party the night away.

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Luxury Living in the Sun

Tropical Beach In Nicaragua

Before dawn the first surfers race toward the ocean and the sun begins to unroll a carpet of yellow light across the beach. Neighbors on foot or on horseback stop to chat in the surf in front of the new luxury clubhouse which is buzzing with the breakfast crowd. Soon families will gather by the beachfront pool while mom or dad, laptop flipped open, checks in on business back home. The more physically active sip a freshly-squeezed juice after their morning run along the beach and through the nature trails. Next stop: The tennis court.

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The Property Time Machine

“I wish I had a time machine”. Those were almost the first words out of Mary’s mouth when I met her. Her husband nodded in agreement. I did too. Who wouldn’t want a time machine?

I could picture myself going back in time and snapping up Microsoft shares before they became a household name…or priceless Van Goghs, back when the painter, himself, couldn’t even sell one of them…or choice properties in prime locations before they boomed.

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Absolutely Nothing About Goldman Sachs

Joseph Saylin did not like to take chances. He didn’t trust people very much and he didn’t trust paper wealth very much. He trusted dogs and real estate…and that’s about it.

Joseph Saylin, my grandfather, was the son of Latvian immigrants. Joseph worked hard… always. And saved money… always. He was ambitious. He was a physician at the age of 21, a lieutenant in the US Army at the age of 24, a captain at 27, a major at 31, a colonel at 35. “I was always the ‘boy this’ and the ‘boy that,’” he would often boast during his twilight years. “I was the ‘boy doctor’ and the ‘boy colonel.’ A lot of guys were jealous. But they didn’t even think about how hard I worked.”

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Uncle Sam’s Fire Sale. Minimum Investment: $1 Billion

In my investment letter, Addison Wiggin’s Apogee Advisory, we spend a great deal of time, money and resources looking for new investment ideas that our subscribers can act on independently. Sometimes what we find instead is outrage.

For example, the federal government is about to dump millions of the foreclosed homes at fire-sale prices to hedge funds and private-equity firms with government connections. If you’re an individual investor who might like to get in on the action, forget it! You’re shut out of this deal.

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Investment Alternatives in a No-Growth Market

Baltimore…best bet for investors?

We drove back into town on Sunday night. People moped around in front of bars. Groups walked uptown from the stadium, their shoulders down, the chins dragging. The city was dark…and unhappy.

There was no joy in Baltimore on Sunday night. Baltimore is a sports town. The Ravens — the only team we know named after a poem — had lost. They would not be going to the Super Bowl.

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