Time to Take the “Emerging” Out of Emerging Markets

Time to Take the “Emerging” Out of Emerging Markets

by Jason Jenkins, Investment U Research
Thursday, December 01, 2011

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The 2011 Gold Season is Just Around the Corner

The ongoing debate in Washington prompted increased Fear Trade activity in gold this week. The issue over raising the federal borrowing limit caused the yellow metal to remain around its all-time high of $1,600 per ounce this week.

Gold has now increased for 124 months straight, says Deutsche Bank. The rally is in its 11th year, lasting nearly three times as long as other historical rallies going back to 1971. If the metal rose to $2,100 an ounce, it would represent the most powerful percentage increase in history, according to Deutsche Bank.

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China to Overtake India as World’s Biggest Gold Consuming Nation

Much like how China has surpassed the US in so many manufacturing and economic milestones — and South Africa in gold production — the world’s most populous country is now poised to topple India as nation with the strongest gold demand in the world.

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2011 Halftime Report: Oil Outlook Remains Strong

This year has been eventful for the oil patch. Natural disasters, revolutions, terrorist attacks and political maneuvering kept oil bouncing around $100 per barrel and 3.8 percent higher on the year at the end of June. Despite the volatility and large number of external forces affecting oil prices, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its most recent Oil Market Report that “the bull run evident since autumn 2010 therefore looks in large part to be justified by supply and demand fundamentals.”

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How QE3 Could Bring About $5,000 Gold and $1,000 Silver

In his recent commentary, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard sees the world nearing a revived gold standard as the US, Europe, and Japan all continue testing the limits of maximum sovereign debt levels.

With potential for QE3 — a third round of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program — on the horizon, governments around the world must consider alternatives to the US dollar and other paper money. These developments are likely to continue impacting precious metal prices.

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US Desperately Needs $2 Trillion in Infrastructure Repairs

A recent study conducted by Ernst & Young for the Urban Land Institute shows the US badly needs $2 trillion in infrastructure rehabilitation for services and facilities — ranging from roads and bridges to sewers and dams — which are quickly reaching the end of their planned useful life.

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Some Wages in US and India Moving Toward Parity

The democratization of technology has allowed emerging nations access to the kinds of capabilities and knowhow that industrialized nations have long had, and, as a result, salaries in developing nations are rising alongside productivity, especially relative to the developed world.

This week, there's an example of this global trend in call center operations. What's historically been the one of the most obvious cost-advantaged jobs to export to India is now, since the broader economic downturn, a business opportunity showing new signs of competitive life when based in the US.

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India’s Banks Follow China’s Lead Toward Expanding Gold Market

Recently, China began looking at ways of internationalizing its gold market, and since then banks in India have also made it known to their central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, that they are seeking permission to buy back gold from investors. These trading rights would be in addition to the role they currently maintain of primarily importing gold with the express purpose of selling it directly to jewelers and retailers.

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Ready, Set, Gold! Best Months Are Just Ahead

Global economic conditions are now favorable for gold as a safe-haven investment. The U.S., Western Europe and Japan are close to buckling under the weight of their sovereign debt loads, government budget deficits remain large and persistent and, as a result, faith in major paper currencies is low.

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