There’s a lot to get to this morning… but front and center is the Jobs Jamboree Friday… The first one of 2012, although it is December’s job creation report. The ADP jobs report yesterday, which was supposed to be the “indicator” for the Jobs Jamboree, but never really materialized as such, reported that 325,000 jobs were created in December… Now, that would be something to crow about… It will be interesting to see what the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) comes up with… As I told you earlier this week, this is also the month were the “adjustments” to previous BLS reports are made… However, those won’t get a spotlight, and mass media coverage… They are done under the dark of night, sort of like the bill that was signed on New Year’s Eve by the President… If you’re not aware of that one, you should be… Your personal freedoms could very well hang in the balance…
[Read more...]Weekly Jobs Data is Positive, Pushing the Dollar Lower
As mentioned in yesterday’s Pfennig, we had a long list of data released yesterday, and most of the numbers indicated that the US economy may be picking up a bit of steam. Producer prices came in right where they were expected, increasing 0.3% MOM and 5.7% YOY. The ‘core’ figure, (ex food and energy) is the one the Feds monitor and both showed modest increases over last month. The biggest surprise came in the form of the Empire Manufacturing number which came in at 9.53 on December versus 3.00 last month. This number reflects manufacturing activity in the NY region, but has a history of being very volatile and therefore an unreliable indicator of future manufacturing growth.
[Read more...]By the Numbers: A Closer Look at the Real Wealth of US Households
Americans are poorer than they think…
Dow up again yesterday. Gold still bouncing around…
The press is still focused on Europe. A “deal over eurozone fiscal rules,” was announced earlier in the week. Every day brings more speculation about what form the final deal will take…and whether the European Central Bank will lend a hand.
[Read more...]Did the Jobless Rate Really Fall?
I’ll probably be all alone when I make this statement, but, then I don’t follow the trumpeter anyway… What a crock the Jobs report was last week! When will the major media figure this all out? Probably never, because they don’t have real investigative reporters any longer… But here’s what I’m talking about, folks… The Jobs Jamboree reported that 120,000 jobs were created in November… (The previous month was revised upward from 80,000 to 100,000) So… On the outside, things looked OK… But remember, it takes far more than 120,000 jobs each month to support a strong economy.
[Read more...]Jobless Claims Rise Back to 400,000
The sweet sounds of risk taking have been playing the past few days, and unless the trap door gets sprung again today, the euro (EUR) will most likely end the week on the good foot, as James Brown would say… After a couple of weeks of euro bashing, the euro has quietly rallied… And it can all be pinned down to the idea I told you about the other day, regarding a rumor about recapitalizing European banks…
[Read more...]Playing Old Maid
When my youngest sister was four-years-old, we taught her how to play Old Maid. She learned quickly but played the game like – a four-year-old. When she was dealt the Old Maid, her little thumb would push it a couple of inches above the others in her hand. She did this with a giggle since her maneuver was tricking us (in her 4-year-old mind) into taking the Old Maid. She succeeded; someone would remove it from her hand so that she could say: “Ha, Ha, you have the Old Maid!”
[Read more...]DXY Shows the US Dollar Was Best Performer in May
I want to start off this morning by wishing Chuck good luck with the ‘procedure’ he will be going through today. Chuck is constantly having to go in to get poked and prodded by his doctors and I am impressed at how positive he remains through all of these doctor’s visits. He told me this wasn’t a ‘big’ deal and everything should be fine, but after the past few years I think Chuck has a slightly different view than the rest of us on what a ‘big’ deal is. So we should all say a quick prayer for Chuck and his doctors.
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Jobs Data Sends Currencies and Gold Lower
Good day… And a Marvelous Monday to you! Congrats to the fans of the Big Blue, NY Giants, who are the Super Bowl Champions, after a very entertaining game. It’s very foggy out this morning here in St. Louis, reminds me of the time my beautiful bride and yours truly were driving home from Des Moines to St. Louis and a very dense fog was everywhere… Not wanting to stop, I cracked the car door open and kept an eye on the white line, which would keep me on the road… Thinking back now, that probably wasn’t a very safe thing to do, eh?
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