Crude Oil: The Best Bet for 2012

Crude oil may not only be the best commodity play for 2012, it could prove to be the best commodity play of the next three to four years, soundly beating both gold and silver. I’m not talking about oil producers, refiners or drillers…or any individual stock — but the real thing: crude oil itself.

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2008, Redux

Who says there’s no such thing as time travel? It’s starting to feel like the fall of 2008 all over again. Indeed, the demons of 2008 are like those characters you see in the Halloween horror movies. You can kill and bury the monsters, but a few scenes later, they reappear.

So what’s happening? Is it 2008 redux? Or are things now worse than 2008 and we just don’t know it yet? Oh, for a copy of a tomorrow’s newspaper! Still, let’s do the best we can with what we’ve got.

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Petroleum Permitorium

Did you hear the news?

This year’s government budget included a new tax on oil producers.

Bad timing, if you ask me. What, with oil prices sitting around $100 a barrel, the last thing I’d think the government would want to do is reduce incentive for oil producers.

But hey, who am I to say? I’ll let the numbers have the podium…

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Record Oil Price: A Ways to Go, But Time to Get There

Light Sweet Crude is touching another post-Panic of ’08 high this morning.

Crude Today Higher Than 3 Years Ago

At $108.25, we’re still a stretch from the record $147 price set in July 2008. But it’s $2 higher than it was on this date in April of that year. So we’ve got time.

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Monetary Madness

For some reason, everyone is taken aback because, as James Mackintosh at The Financial Times puts it, “Stanley Druckenmiller, one of the masters of the investment world, this week announced his retirement saying that he had become frustrated over the past three years with his inability to make outsized returns,� which makes me laugh my Huge Mogambo Butt (HMB) off at Mr. Druckenmiller, and laugh at hedge funds everywhere because, as Mr. Mackintosh reports, “the average macro fund had lost 1.2 per cent, after small gains last year, according to Hedge Fund Research. By contrast, global equities are down 5 per cent since January.�

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The Namibian Oil Rush

While BP has been busy spewing oil into the Gulf of Mexico, many other oil companies have been busy finding oil under the waters of other gulfs, seas and oceans. In fact, Brazil's state-controlled energy giant, Petrobras (NYSE:PBR), just announced a major oil discovery in offshore Angolan waters. Water depth is about 1,500 feet. The “net pay� zone is almost 1,500 feet of oil-bearing reservoir, far below the seabed. The preliminary estimate is that there are over 500 million barrels or recoverable oil in place. That'll likely grow, as additional wells go down over time. It's always nice to strike oil.

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A Crude Display of How to Invest in Oil

I get a lot of mail concerning my single-minded fanaticism about how gold, silver and oil are the best investments to buy when your stupid government is deficit-spending and allowing excess amounts of money to be created, in our case by the Federal Reserve, and particularly that part about buying oil, meaning, of course, oil company stocks.

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Too Much Debt, Not Enough Oil

I just returned from the 2010 Agora Financial Investment Symposium in Vancouver, B.C. This year's theme, “Assault on Enterprise,� provided a fascinating context for a wide range of investment insights and recommendations.

According to many of this year's presenters, the assault on American enterprise is intensifying. Because the government has been overpromising, overcommitting and overspending for decades, it is hurtling toward a fiscal train wreck. The numbers have stopped adding up. Looking out, there's NO WAY that most Western governments can ever pay their ongoing obligations or pay off past debt. But that doesn't mean that governments won't try to maintain their expensive and intrusive invasion of the private sector.

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Is the BP Oil Spill a Good Thing?

“This disaster in the Gulf will bring so much joy, such great future for the US!â€? Marcio Mello said yesterday during his presentation at the Agora Financial Investment Symposium. If you are unfamiliar, Mello is the geological legend responsible for Brazil's massive deep-water oil discoveries in the last few years. He shared his thoughts at our annual Symposium yesterday…

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