Japan Turns to Quantitative Easing Once Again!

The Bank of Japan, with instructions from the Japanese Finance Ministry, announced that they would increase their purchases of Japanese government bonds. You know they decided to do this because their multiple implementations of QE, going back 20 years, have all worked so well! NOT!

We all hear the party line that central banks do this to “stimulate growth.” And we know that it “kind of” works… but for only so long. Then you need to do more, right, Big Ben Bernanke?

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Aussie Inflation Falls, Dragging the Aussie Dollar Down

The Aussie inflation report that printed last night certainly is going to give my thought of no rate cut a lot of problems. Aussie first-quarter CPI rose just 0.3% from the previous quarter.

The forecasts ranged from 0.5-0.6%, so the lower inflation is going to be the straw that stirs the drink for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), who had hung their rate cut hat on this report. Now that it has printed and was very weak, I don’t see how the RBA doesn’t cut rates. So much for me leaving a light on for no cut, eh?

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MAS to Adjust Monetary Policy?

Good day. Mondays have always been the most-trying day for my brain cells, as it’s our largest day of risk management in World Markets. That means I have to be “on top of my game” on Mondays, and then I go home mentally exhausted. Well, I thought those types of days would be over, with our brand-spanking-new computer system. Eventually, it will be better. I know it.

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China Posts Strong Manufacturing Data

When I left a couple of weeks ago, it appeared as though the bond rally that began in the early ’80s was about to finally break. But as I return, I see that the yield on the 10-year has regained some vigor, and rallied from the 2.38% when I left to 2.22%. (Remember, when the yield on a bond falls, the price goes up.)

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Why Buffett and Gartman are Wrong About Gold

Warren Buffett doesn’t like gold. Neither does Dennis Gartman. That settles it for us; gold must be a table-pounding buy.

In this year’s annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett scorned gold as an asset that is “forever unproductive.”

“[Gold] will never produce anything,” he wrote. “Gold has two significant shortcomings, being neither of much use nor procreative.”

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China Lowers GDP Target

Late last week, traders, investors, hedge jockeys and the rest all switched horses in the middle of the stream — by bailing out of the risk assets of currencies and metals that they had bought — and pushed the prices higher earlier in the week. Gold got slammed big-time, so I guess there’s no reason to fear the uncertainty in the world today. Israel and Iran are saber rattling, countries all over the world are shifting out of their long-standing agreements to price oil trade in dollars, China continues to take baby steps toward removing the dollar as the reserve currency in the world and the beat goes on. So I guess there’s nothing to fear about the uncertainty in the world today. Alfred E. Neuman, where are you?

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Eurozone Economy Contracts

The big news this morning is that the People’s Bank of China Gov. Zhou Xiaochuan said, “China will help resolve Europe’s debt crisis.” Remember that a couple of weeks ago, the news was that the Chinese “may” help once they figure out to participate in the EFSF… So the markets are correct this morning to key on the word change from “may” to “will”. And the euro (EUR) rallied on the news, pushing the rest of the currencies onto the rally tracks to join the euro.

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Jobs Data Sends Currencies and Gold Lower

Good day… And a Marvelous Monday to you! Congrats to the fans of the Big Blue, NY Giants, who are the Super Bowl Champions, after a very entertaining game. It’s very foggy out this morning here in St. Louis, reminds me of the time my beautiful bride and yours truly were driving home from Des Moines to St. Louis and a very dense fog was everywhere… Not wanting to stop, I cracked the car door open and kept an eye on the white line, which would keep me on the road… Thinking back now, that probably wasn’t a very safe thing to do, eh?

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Commodities Take Off!

The Greek talks returned to the headlines this morning. I know I said this last Friday, and I was a little too optimistic and turned out to be wrong! But… I do expect this agreement on a private-sector involvement in Greek debt to get hammered out this weekend… It seems that the opposition from eurozone policymakers is backing off, and that has me optimistic once again.

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