Crony Capitalism at Work

High-speed trading is turning the stock market is turning into a farce, and in the process is turning off an entire generation of investors. It’s speeding up a process — P/E ratio compression — that normally takes a grinding bear market a couple of decades to accomplish. Even after the wake-up call of the May 2010 flash crash, the SEC has done little to foster a healthier market ecosystem.

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How Zombies Get Rich and Drive the US Economy

First, let’s look at what Mr. Market is doing to see if he will give us a hint of what is going on. He’s supposed to know everything. And he’s supposed to look ahead and tell us what is coming.

So already, Mr. Smarty-Pants, what’s up? Alas, Mr. Market seems as confused as we are.

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The New Commandments, Part 2

The SEC's budget, or appropriated funding as it is known, was $906 million for FY2008, having risen 11.5 percent annually since 2001. Investor complaints however, have barely increased. From 2001 to 2007 their annual growth was just 1.6 percent.

According to a Rand Corporation study of investment advisors and broker-dealers registered with the SEC, the combined total of these grew at an annualized rate of just 3.4 percent over the five years 2001 – 2006, but this growth rate was skewed by some 700 hedge funds that subsequently deregistered after the study's end point; excluding these the annualized growth would shrink to just 2.5 percent. All of the growth has come on the investment advisor side, and these are typically very small operations compared to broker-dealers.

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China’s Dagong Credit Rating Agency Steamed Over NRSRO Delay

What you already know about China-based Dagong Credit Rating is that it's caused quite the kerfuffle over sovereign debt ratings by ranking China higher than the US and other developed countries, like the UK and Japan, based on a formula assigning more weight to the fiscal health and GDP growth of countries.

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Goateed Jon Stewart: Goldman Abolishing Swear Words, Now Makes Sweet Love to You

Goldman Sachs not only has a unique knack for practically minting money, it’s also got a special way with words. Already well known for “doing God’s work,” is also professes somewhat of an expertise in a more carnal sort of profession.

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Inflation Still a Problem, Despite “Evidence” to the Contrary

I was as surprised, as many were, to see that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) actually declined in April, dropping to 2.2% inflation from March’s 2.3% inflation.

My family seemed to be endlessly delighted that inflation seems to be going is down, which is because I have been yammering about how inflation in prices going up will always be the result of a money supply that goes up, and I have been saying it for so long that they are sick, sick, sick of hearing that inflation is prices will follow inflation in the money supply, they are sick, sick, sick of hearing my voice telling them that ruinous inflation in prices will always follow ruinous inflations in the money supply, and they are happy, happy, happy that I am wrong!

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Let Goldman Sachs Interrogate the SEC

Since April 16, 2010, when the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) indicted Goldman Sachs on fraud charges, the bank must approach each day wishing it could stay in bed. New charges and rumors of lawsuits swirl around the firm. Goldman will have its day (or, years) in court, but the government agency that rolled the snowball down the mountain should also sit in the dock.
 
The SEC aided and abetted the credit bubble in several instances, one of which will be discussed here.
 
The Securities and Exchange Commission removed the 12:1 leverage limit on broker/dealers in 2004. (The 12:1 limit is a rough figure calculated from SEC Final Rule, 17 CFR Parts 200 and 240, “Alternative Net Requirements for Broker-Dealers That Are Part of Consolidated Supervised Entities.”) When Wall Street collapsed in 2008, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns, and Morgan Stanley were leveraged at 30:1, and sometimes at over 60:1 between their quarterly financial reports.
 
In the whirlpool of bank reform discussion, the extent to which banks were leveraged before the deluge is underappreciated. (Nor, is current leverage appreciated, either.) Economists, for instance, did not – and do not – pay attention to leverage, and since the country is run by these specimens of constricted imagination, their holy models did not capture the inevitability of Wall Street’s collapse (or, of the one to come.)
 
What follows is an exercise that turns the tables. Goldman Sachs is given the opportunity to interrogate its regulator. Goldman’s legal counsel might recommend, if the firm were given such an opportunity, that the bank’s line of questioning be more diplomatic. There is no need for that here:
 
“Why did you remove limits to our leverage when the whole economy was already operating as a highly leveraged carry trade? Houses, for instance, were being sold on terms that no bank in its right mind would offer – unless they could dump mortgages in our lap. Chairman Greenspan even gave a speech imploring Americans to buy adjustable-rate loans in February 2004.
 
“Our economists scratched their heads at the time: why did he need to do that? In the state with the most speculative housing market, California, the percentage of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) had already risen from 2% in 2002 to 47% in when he spoke. Median house prices in California had shot up from $237,060 in 2000 to $443,148 at the time Greenspan made his plea. Median incomes had been falling, so more mortgages were being written with no money down. Nevertheless, ARMs jumped to 61% of California mortgages by the spring of 2005, and prices reached $542,720.
 
“You knew that Goldman Sachs and other brokers were securitizing these mortgages that the banks and mortgage brokers would not hold. Yet, you blew open our leverage constraints. You were practically ensuring we would increase the volume of securitization. What was left to securitize other than loans to borrowers with little chance of paying off their debt? Our more fevered participation inevitably raised the volume and prices of house sales.
 
“What else did you think we would do with this new freedom? Putting our investment banking hat on, what were we going to finance? Productive companies couldn’t get out of the country fast enough. Manufacturing profits had fallen from $144 billion in 2000 to $96 billion in 2003. Corporate financing was being channeled into the [irresponsible, highly leveraged, destructive - Goldman legal counsel: leave this out!!!!] private equity market.
 
“The Bush administration wanted more jobs and housing was making them. In 2003, we found that over the previous two years 750,000 high-tech jobs had been lost and 125,000 Americans became real-estate agents. By 2006, at least 600,000 people were selling mortgages in California. Goldman Sachs was building a more employed, although highly distorted, America. Why did you encourage us to turn the United States into an ancient Egyptian pyramid-building empire?
 
“We will tell you why we thought at the time, and still think now, that you removed the leverage limit: you wanted us to securitize mortgages at a faster pace. Maybe this was not the SEC’s goal, but you do what you’re told in the political arena. The United States could no longer fund its trade deficit without shipping boatloads of mortgages overseas. In 2000, the U.S. imported about $400 billion more goods and services than it exported. By 2006, this doubled to $800 billion. How could Americans – with falling median incomes – spend at such an accelerating rate and how could foreigners finance our lifestyles?
 
“We will abbreviate the answers to these questions with two simple examples.
 
“In 2005, Americans withdrew $800 billion of home equity from the rising values of their houses, about half of this was spent on consumer purchases. We will add that if it were not for our highly innovative mortgage securities that had evolved from the simple asset-backed derivatives to CDOs, to synthetic CDOs, to CPDOs, to Russian-doll CDOs, [each innovation even more profitable to us, since they were more inscrutable to the hapless buyer - Goldman legal counsel - stop this!!!!!], we could not have attracted the wider customer base necessary to unload this garbage. [Goldman legal counsel - OK, the sloppiness is so obviously true and gives the impression of sincerity]. 
 
“In 2005, foreigners bought 53% more Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities than they had in 2004. They had to buy them if they wanted America to buy all their junk. (Given the poor quality of imported socks that ripped the first time we put them on, the poor quality of our exported subprime CDOs did not cost us much sleep.) Americans couldn’t buy the debt securities we issued since we were spending at such a furious rate. Foreigners had pulled back from the U.S. stock market after the Internet bubble burst. The Treasury could not issue enough securities, so we had to unload subprime loans on them.
 
“In conclusion is Exhibit A. This is from Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, 2007 Issues & Outlook, published on December 10, 2006. Your decision – or, indecision – to permit brokerage debt to keep spiraling upward is unforgivable. And, don’t say we didn’t warn you: 

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SEC Worker may Need new Glasses From too Much Computer Time

The wide range of revenue generating activities at investment banks have all been perfectly legal for so long now -– despite the many potential conflicts of interest — that it’s difficult to appreciate the SEC finally getting around to calling a spade a spade.

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The SEC May Turn Out to be Goldman’s Smallest Problem

In a recent Daily Beast article, Charlie Gasparino describes Goldman Sachs as “already the most hated investment bank among investment bankers.” Perhaps that’s so. Throughout its long and storied history Goldman has been the most elite and prestigious firm in a very competitive pool of investment banks. It’s not surprising that its success could have ruffled more than a few feathers.

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