German Business Confidence Hits Seven-Month High!

The markets seem to be pushing the euro (EUR) past 1.33, this morning. And with the euro trading in a higher handle this morning, the rest of the currencies are reacting favorably. So the dollar is being chased to the woodshed.

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RBA Sounds Upbeat About Global Economic Growth

Good day… And a Tom Terrific Tuesday to you! Well… Yesterday, I realized that I couldn’t eat all day on Sunday, and expect to want to eat on Monday! But I’m ready to do so today! HA! I also realized yesterday just what a Donnie Downer I’ve been lately, with my insistence that there’s something going on to pull the wool over our eyes… That may be, but I’ve got to be more upbeat, eh?

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Currencies Hold Ground Ahead of Jobs Jamboree

This morning, the currencies look pretty much like they did yesterday when I left the office… There’s still the Sword of Damocles hanging over the euro (EUR), in the form of Greek negotiations to obtain help from private lenders. This has dragged on now for over two weeks, and I’ve given up on it happening… You only have to disappoint me twice before I get the message!

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Commodities Take Off!

The Greek talks returned to the headlines this morning. I know I said this last Friday, and I was a little too optimistic and turned out to be wrong! But… I do expect this agreement on a private-sector involvement in Greek debt to get hammered out this weekend… It seems that the opposition from eurozone policymakers is backing off, and that has me optimistic once again.

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Home Prices Keep Falling

Good day… Should be an interesting week, as the ECOFIN people meet and Greece is still working on their debt and… this will be my first full week of work in over a month, so all in all, pretty interesting!

What I also found interesting on Friday was the price action of silver… I don’t know if you follow silver or not… I do — very closely, I might add! But silver was outperforming gold by a long shot, rising over $1 on the day, which you don’t normally see in the silver price action. My colleague Aaron yelled over the desk to ask me what was going on with silver, as he too watches it closely… I couldn’t really find anything out there, so the thought came to me very quickly that silver must be playing “catch-up”…

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Eurozone Data Continues to Print Weak

There’s a lot to get to this morning… but front and center is the Jobs Jamboree Friday… The first one of 2012, although it is December’s job creation report. The ADP jobs report yesterday, which was supposed to be the “indicator” for the Jobs Jamboree, but never really materialized as such, reported that 325,000 jobs were created in December… Now, that would be something to crow about… It will be interesting to see what the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) comes up with… As I told you earlier this week, this is also the month were the “adjustments” to previous BLS reports are made… However, those won’t get a spotlight, and mass media coverage… They are done under the dark of night, sort of like the bill that was signed on New Year’s Eve by the President… If you’re not aware of that one, you should be… Your personal freedoms could very well hang in the balance…

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France Has a Successful Bond Auction

Front and center this morning, the euro (EUR) has plunged overnight, and now sits 2-cents below where it was yesterday when I was writing the Pfennig. France auctioned bonds this morning, and had to ratchet up the yield, as many buyers are afraid of the rumors that France’s AAA rating is about to be slashed. But this is old news, and shouldn’t have caused the move in the euro that we’ve seen since yesterday.

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Comparing the US and Eurozone Debts

Right out of the starter blocks this morning, the euro (EUR) has broken through that trading range it held last week (1.3350-1.3450), to the downside, as the ratings agency Moody’s warned the Eurozone that it would begin to review each member. I told you on Friday that I didn’t believe that the Eurozone leaders had done enough to satisfy the ratings agencies… And this is the first step of downgrades all across the board in the Eurozone… And most likely a double-notch downgrade for France.

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Brazil Quietly Scraps its Tax on Foreign Investment

Today is our country’s first day of infamy… Pearl Harbor Day… I hope to visit Pearl Harbor some day, and pay my respects to those American soldiers and sailors who were attacked when we weren’t even at war with the Japanese… A day for us all to stop and think about what happened that day.

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