The “Road to Serfdom�

The stock market still has further to fall to catch up with the slowing economy. US GDP will keep decelerating – likely approaching a zero percent growth rate by 2011 – for the following reasons:

1. The long-term trend back towards consumer frugality and higher savings rates remains in full force. This will dampen consumer spending.

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A Few Reasons Why This Depression Will Be Even Greater

“This is the Greater Depression…and it's going to be worse…far worse…than the Depression of the '30s,â€? said Doug Casey.

“We're just in the eye of the hurricane now. It seems calm. But the other side of the storm is going to hit soon. And it's going to be much worse…â€?

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George Soros Calls for More Stimulus Spending

Good day… And welcome to another week. Chuck is on his way to Vancouver this morning to speak at the big Agora Financial Investment Symposium later this week; so I will have the honor of bringing you the Pfennig over the next few days. But fans of Chuck shouldn't get too upset, as he always sends me Pfennig Pfodder from the road. The euro (EUR) has certainly been on the move lately, and Chuck left me the following before signing off last week:

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Shouldn’t do it; couldn’t do it anyway

Paul Krugman, Martin Wolf and the other big spenders are remarkably resilient. And cunning. On their advice, the world's governments put up as much as 4 years' worth of the entire planet's savings to bring about a ‘recovery.' On the evidence of the last couple of weeks, it didn't work.

In the world's leading economy, 8 million jobs have been lost. The US government disappeared almost a million jobseekers from the unemployment lists in the last two months to try to make the numbers look better. Still, fewer people have jobs now than when the stimulus began. Those workers with jobs earn less than they did then. And those who lose their jobs wait longer than ever to find a new one. Housing is sinking again, too, with nearly half of all the mortgaged houses already worth less than their mortgages. Illinois has stopped paying its bills. California is laying people off wholesale.

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Government Spending and the Façade of a Successful Economy

I've got to admit it's getting better…
A little better all the time.

– The Beatles

Another Monday…another week… Are we getting better?

And what will this week bring? More evidence that things are improving?

On Friday we got word that consumer sales had fallen in May…from the month before. That is, they didn't get better; they got worse.

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Is Jim Rogers Right About the Euro?

I arrived in the parking garage across the street from our building – not exactly the best situation for someone that's partially crippled and has a blood clot in their leg, but that's a story for another day… I got out of my car, and said, “Hmmm… Wouldn't it be nice to see the euro trading with a 1.22 handle this morning?â€? Then said, “Nah, it didn't look too good on Friday…â€?

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A New Word to Describe Financial Folly

What’s happening in the world of money is that the depression continues… You wouldn’t know it from reading the headlines or talking to economists. According to the official line, the US economy expanded 2.2% last quarter.

How is that possible? Well, here at The Daily Reckoning, we’ve invented a new word to describe it – ledgerdemain. Go ahead. Look it up. You won’t find it. But the word perfectly describes the practice of making things look like what they are not by using accounting tricks. Unemployment is over 10%…and apparently still rising. House prices are punky…probably anticipating an avalanche of new houses for sale, from the ‘hidden inventory’ of places that people would like to get rid of…if there were any buyers. And the typical consumer household is rediscovering thrift.

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