The Arithmetic of a Revolution

Hey… That rascal, Alan Greenspan, is back in the newspapers. And this time he has something sensible to say:

“The emerging fight over the future of the welfare state, a paradigm without serious political challenge in eight decades, is accentuating the center’s declining. The welfare state has run up against a brick wall of economic reality and fiscal book-keeping. Congress, having enacted increases in entitlements without visible means of funding them, is on the brink of a stalemate…”

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A Look at the Long-Term Trends in Government Spending

Stocks are up a tad as of this writing. They were up quite a bit more than a tad earlier today but, as happened in yesterday’s session, confidence waned around lunch, sending them lower in the afternoon. All in, the major US indexes are off by about 3% and change for the month…and down a little over 4% on the year.

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Storm Warning! Part II

“Your predictions have become soundly validated, yet that means the dire outcome you feared is arriving,” Chris Martenson remarked in a recent Q&A with Addison Wiggin. “What’s it like for you to be at this time in history?”

Addison answered that question – along with many others – in yesterday’s edition of The Daily Reckoning. Today’s edition features additional insights from Addison in the second and final installment of his Q&A with Chris Martenson.

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Welfare States Decline Along With Youth Population

Yes, dear reader, it looks to us as though the welfare state is kaput. Because it depends on the future to support it. And guess what, there is no future…

Ha ha…

Remember the Population Bomb of the '70s? If we're not mistaken that was Paul Erhlich's dire, neo-Malthusian warning. There were soon going to be more people than the world could support.

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The State the Welfare State is In

“You can take your loans and shove them,? the Hungarian economic minister, György Matolcsy, did not say. But that's what he was thinking. Watch out. The Hungarians are trendsetters. They ran a budget deficit of 9% of GDP back in 2006. They got a $20 billion bailout in 2008 and have been living with austerity measures ever since. The current budget is only in deficit by 3.8% of GDP – barely a third of the US level.

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An Unsustainable Welfare-State Rat Race

Like a rat on its exercise wheel, the White House keeps on spinning though new spending program ideas without ever determining a finish line. Basically, how to pay for them.

If the Obama administration decides to step off the spending wheel too late it’s likely to end up with a no-win situation similar to the options pictured below.

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Bailing Out a Welfare State: The California-Greece Debate

Trichet to Greece: Drop Dead!

Obama to California: Uh…

Yesterday, stocks lost 103 points on the Dow. This looked like a confirmation to us. The stock market appears to have begun its next and final phase…

AP seemed to think so too:

Stock investors see threats from all directions, said the headline.

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